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Intrinsic Value: What It Means and Why It Matters
When investors evaluate a stock, one of the most important concepts is its intrinsic value. The intrinsic value of a company’s shares is an estimate of what the stock is “really worth,” based on fundamentals, future cash flows, and the business itself—not just what the stock is trading at today.
In simpler terms, if the stock market quotes a share at ₹200, that is its market value. But the intrinsic value might be ₹250 or ₹150, depending on calculations and assumptions. If the intrinsic value is higher than the market price, some see that as an opportunity to buy; if it’s lower, it may suggest overvaluation. More details are available on the Finowings page about how to calculate intrinsic value.
Why Is Intrinsic Value Important?
Intrinsic value of stocks helps investors:
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Identify undervalued shares: Buying shares when the intrinsic value is significantly above market price can offer the potential upside.
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Avoid overpaying: If the market price is far above your computed intrinsic value, you might wait or skip the purchase.
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Anchor decisions on fundamentals: Rather than being swayed by market noise, emotions, or short‑term trends, intrinsic value puts emphasis on company strength, growth, cash flow, and sustainability.
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Practice value investing: Many famed investors, including Warren Buffett, rely heavily on intrinsic value reasoning in their approach.
Because intrinsic value is rooted in fundamentals, it tends to be more stable over time than market prices, which oscillate with sentiment, speculation, and news.
How to Calculate Intrinsic Value of Stocks
There is no single perfect formula, but some common methods are:
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Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Method
You forecast the company’s future cash flows, discount them back to present value (using a required rate of return), and sum them up. This is one of the most popular and fundamental ways to estimate intrinsic value. -
Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
This works well for companies that pay consistent dividends. You project future dividends, assume a growth rate, and discount them back. -
Earnings Multiplier / P/E Method
Here you take the company’s earnings per share (EPS) and multiply by a justified P/E ratio to get a rough intrinsic value. For example, if EPS is ₹20 and you pick a P/E of 15, the intrinsic value becomes ₹300. -
Asset-Based Valuation
This method looks at the company’s assets minus liabilities, divided by number of shares. This is often more useful for firms with tangible assets, like real estate or manufacturing businesses.
Each of these methods has strengths and limitations. Using more than one method and comparing results tends to give a more balanced view.
Intrinsic Value vs. Market Value
Intrinsic value and market value differ in several ways:
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Intrinsic value is derived from fundamentals (cash flows, growth, assets, liabilities), while market value is what buyers and sellers agree on at any moment, influenced by supply/demand and sentiment.
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Market value can volatilely change day to day; intrinsic value estimates tend to change more gradually as business fundamentals evolve.
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A stock may be trading above or below intrinsic value; this gap is what often creates investment opportunities (or risk).
Risks & Challenges in Using Intrinsic Value
Estimating intrinsic value is not risk‑free. Some of the risks are:
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Assumption Risk
Forecasts for future cash flows, growth rates, and discount rates are guesses. Wrong assumptions can lead to wildly inaccurate intrinsic values. -
Market Sentiment & Irrational Behavior
Even if intrinsic value suggests a stock is undervalued, market forces or sentiment may keep the price down (or push it higher). -
Changing Business Conditions
Regulation, technology shifts, competition, or macro events can alter a company’s future and invalidate earlier intrinsic value estimates. -
Data Limitations
For newer companies or those with less transparency, projecting cash flows or reliable financials may not be feasible.
Given these risks, it’s wise to use multiple valuation methods, maintain a margin of safety (i.e. buy only when market price is a significant discount to intrinsic value), and review valuations periodically as new information comes in.
Key Points to Keep in Mind
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Intrinsic value is always an estimate—not a definitive “true price.”
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Don’t rely on a single method. Use DCF, multipliers, asset methods together.
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Be cautious with your assumptions—small changes in discount rate or growth can shift value a lot.
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Always compare intrinsic value with market price before making investment decisions.
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Apply a margin of safety: aim to buy only when intrinsic value is perhaps 20–30% higher than market price to account for errors.
When you want to dig deeper, you can explore the Finowings page Intrinsic Value of Stock or Share.

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